Thinking Exponentially

If I accomplish one thing, I hope it is to get you to think exponentially. It's not easy. Most of us use the past to predict the future.

For example, 5 years ago we did not have an iPhone. So, you can say in that period of time, we went from the coolest phone being a Motorola Razor (because it was thin) to the iPhone 4s that comes with Siri. That is a lot of change. Hundreds of thousands apps, a dual core processor, centralized storage of music, apps, pictures, etc. (iCloud) ... the list goes on.

What does this tell us about the future?

The Future Ain't What it Used to Be!

I have been meaning to start a blog about a subject that I find facsinating and can't stop following. I have coined this the Technology Tsunami. Most people feel it coming but just can't seem to fully articulate its source or full implications. We see it everywhere we look. In the toys we buy, the education our kids consume, the media around us, and most importantly the work that we do.

At the base of all of this is the exponential changes that are being ushered in by the advances in technology that allow us to pack twice as much power into a processor every 18 months or so ... known as Moore's Law. This doubling effect takes a while to build up. While the rate of change is fairly constant, the absolute change from period to period is pretty dramatic.